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Middle East

Iran Conflict Updates

Iran Conflict Updates

Overview

Recent events in Iran are moving quickly, necessitating ongoing monitoring and analysis of military and geopolitical developments. The Institute for the Study of War is a non-profit public policy research organization that provides reliable research and trusted analysis of military affairs. Their research is powered by Babel Street.

We're offering this digest of ISW's postings and analyses.

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MARCH 10, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

Developments in the Middle East include US forces destroying 16 Iranian minelayers near the Strait of Hormuz, part of Iran’s broader campaign to disrupt maritime traffic and exert pressure on Gulf states and the United States. These mining efforts are likely to further impede Iran’s own oil exports, particularly to China. In response to ongoing conflict and concerns over US-Israeli infiltration, the Iranian regime is intensifying internal securitization and counterintelligence measures, echoing similar strategies following the June 2025 Iran-Israel War. Meanwhile, a combined force has targeted key Iranian internal security sites in western and northwestern Iran and continues to strike Iranian-backed Iraqi militia positions to prevent retaliatory attacks. Additionally, Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 29 attacks against Israeli forces in northern Israel and southern Lebanon within a 24-hour period, marking the highest number of such attacks observed since the conflict began.

MARCH 10, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Between March 9 and 10, a combined force launched strikes on key targets in Tehran and Bandar Abbas, including the IRGC Quds Force headquarters and several tactical airbases, significantly impacting Iran's military infrastructure. Iran responded by firing three missile barrages at Israel, although this represented the lowest missile activity since the war began, with a notable portion containing cluster warheads. Meanwhile, Hezbollah claimed numerous attacks against IDF positions in northern Israel and southern Lebanon, using long-range and high-quality missiles. The IDF continued its airstrikes across Lebanon to weaken Hezbollah's offensive capabilities and advanced into southern Lebanon on multiple fronts.

MARCH 9, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

The US-Israeli combined force has significantly weakened Iran’s missile and drone capabilities, limiting its ability to retaliate in the region. In addition, strikes have targeted Iran’s internal security apparatus, with dozens of security institutions hit since late February, including the Sahab Pardaz Company, known for its role in internet censorship. Meanwhile, Hezbollah has been using long-range projectiles to attack Israel and is expected to intensify rocket and drone attacks soon in an effort to divert Israeli attention from Iran.

MARCH 9, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Military operations have targeted key Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Ground Forces sites in Iran's Esfahan Province, including the Seyyed ol Shohada Operational Base and the 14th Imam Hossein Division, which played roles in both regional security and the Syrian civil war. Additionally, the Saheb ol Zaman Provincial Unit, known for protest suppression, was struck. Iran has continued its attacks on Israel and other regional states, notably launching a ballistic missile intercepted over Turkey and deploying cluster munitions in central Israel, resulting in casualties. Israeli forces have also targeted Law Enforcement Command institutions in Esfahan, and Hezbollah claims to have engaged Israeli troops advancing into Lebanon on multiple fronts.

MARCH 8, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

Recent developments in the Middle East include the selection of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader, signaling the continued dominance of hardline factions. Ukraine is sharing its expertise in countering Iranian drones with Gulf states, enhancing allied air defenses. The US-Israeli coalition has aggressively targeted Iranian ballistic missile infrastructure, destroying a significant portion of Iran’s missile launchers and striking security institutions in various provinces. Meanwhile, Iran has launched attacks on neighboring countries, including damaging a Bahraini desalination plant and causing casualties in Saudi Arabia. Additionally, the IDF has intensified its airstrikes against Hezbollah in Lebanon, conducting hundreds of strikes to weaken the group’s offensive capabilities.

MARCH 8, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Recent geolocated satellite imagery confirms an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) strike on Iran’s Shahroud Missile Facility, a site critical for ballistic missile production, with evidence that Iran has begun repairs following previous attacks. Additionally, a combined force has targeted multiple internal security locations around Esfahan City, including the provincial Law Enforcement Command Headquarters. The IDF continues intensive operations against Hezbollah, claiming over 600 strikes and more than 200 Hezbollah fighters killed in Lebanon since late February. Meanwhile, Iran persists in launching regional attacks, including drone strikes against targets in Kuwait and reports of a drone attack on a UN building in Iraqi Kurdistan. Hezbollah also reported 19 attacks against IDF positions in northern Israel and southern Lebanon in the same period.

MARCH 7, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

Recent developments indicate escalating tensions between Iran and regional actors, highlighted by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian's contentious remarks about attacks on neighboring countries, which have deepened divisions within Iran’s leadership. In response, a combined force launched airstrikes targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, exacerbating the nation’s energy crisis and causing significant disruptions. Israel reported a substantial reduction in Iran’s missile capabilities and noted a sharp decline in ballistic missile attacks following these operations. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky offered assistance to Saudi Arabia in countering Iranian drone threats after attacks on Saudi oil facilities. Additionally, targeted strikes against the IRGC Aerospace Force in Tehran aimed to undermine Iran’s air defense and command capabilities, as the force plays a central role in operating the country's missile and drone arsenals.

MARCH 7, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Despite President Masoud Pezeshkian’s directive to halt strikes unless directly provoked, Iran has persisted with drone and ballistic missile attacks on Gulf states. In response, a combined force has targeted Basij bases in Tehran to weaken the regime’s capacity for domestic control, striking at least nine out of 23 regional bases as of March 6. Further operations included attacks on two Artesh airbases in Esfahan Province on March 7 to suppress Iranian air defenses and establish air superiority over Tehran and parts of western Iran. Additionally, a US-Israeli strike destroyed a vehicle, possibly related to air defense, at the Mount Kolang Gaz La facility near the Natanz Enrichment Complex, though independent verification of its purpose remains inconclusive.

MARCH 6, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

Recent developments in the Middle East highlight a growing alliance between Russia and Iran, with Russia reportedly providing intelligence — including high-quality satellite imagery — to support Iranian attacks against US forces. China is also suspected of preparing to supply Iran with financial aid and missile components. In response, US and Israeli forces have intensified their campaign against Iran’s ballistic missile and drone infrastructure, resulting in a significant reduction — about 90 percent — in Iranian ballistic missile attacks. Despite ongoing Iranian retaliation in the form of multiple missile attack waves, the joint force’s operations seem to have effectively degraded Iran’s missile capabilities by targeting launchers, stockpiles, production facilities, and related industrial zones.

MARCH 6, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

A combined force has launched coordinated strikes against Iranian internal security and military infrastructure, aiming to weaken the regime’s capacity for domestic control and degrade its military capabilities. On March 6, the operations targeted several law enforcement and paramilitary facilities, including police stations in Kurdistan and West Azerbaijan, and Basij Resistance bases in Tehran Province. Additionally, key military sites such as ballistic missile locations in Zanjan and Lorestan Provinces were struck. Concurrently, Hezbollah reported carrying out 18 attacks against Israeli Defense Forces in northern Israel and southern Lebanon, focusing on IDF positions in areas such as Markaba, Khiam, and Wadi al Asafir since the previous data update.

MARCH 5, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

The ongoing US-Israeli military campaign against Iran has focused on crippling Iranian ballistic missile infrastructure and air defenses, enabling greater operational freedom for allied aircraft. Since February 28, the IDF has destroyed hundreds of Iranian missile launch sites, and the campaign has now shifted toward targeting Iran's defense industrial base, including missile production facilities, with evacuation warnings issued for key industrial zones. Concurrently, the combined forces have executed airstrikes on internal security sites and IRGC special forces in various regions, while an internet shutdown may be hindering comprehensive reporting of these operations. In the political arena, US President Donald Trump has expressed conditional support for Kurdish offensives into Iran and insisted on US involvement in selecting Iran’s next supreme leader, rejecting any successor who would maintain the late Ali Khamenei’s policies. Meanwhile, Iranian state media claim that Iranian forces have launched drone strikes against US bases in Kuwait and Iraq.

MARCH 5, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Recent developments indicate that the combined US-Israeli force has effectively weakened Iran's ability to launch retaliatory attacks by significantly degrading its ballistic missile and drone capabilities, leading to a notable decline in such assaults. In addition to targeting Iran's military assets, the coalition has also struck at Iran's internal security and government institutions, focusing on Tehran and the northwest—regions historically sensitive to anti-regime activities. Meanwhile, Iran expanded its offensive actions by launching attacks on Turkey and Azerbaijan, bringing the total number of countries targeted to eleven. Simultaneously, Hezbollah conducted seven attacks against Israeli positions in northern Israel and southern Lebanon, including direct engagements with Israeli ground forces, marking the first such incidents since the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah conflict.

MARCH 4, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

Recent events highlight intensified military actions involving the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) targeting key Iranian military and internal security headquarters in southeastern Tehran, aiming to disrupt command and control and weaken Iran’s retaliatory capabilities. Concurrently, unconfirmed reports suggested Kurdish groups initiated a ground operation in Iran, though these claims were denied by Iraqi Kurdistan officials and lack corroborating evidence. The combined force has notably destroyed numerous sites critical to Iran’s internal control, particularly in Tehran and Kurdish-populated cities. Additionally, Iran has increased its use of drones as ballistic missile launches decline, indicating the combined forces’ effectiveness in impeding Iran’s missile capabilities. Despite suffering significant naval losses, Iran continues attempts to disrupt international shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, leveraging missiles and drones as part of broader regional destabilization efforts.

MARCH 4, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

The United States and Israel have launched a coordinated campaign targeting Iran’s internal security institutions, defense infrastructure, and naval capabilities. Their operations have included attacks on police stations, notably the Iranian Cyber Police (FATA) station in Kermanshah, as well as strikes on Iran’s ballistic missile and drone assets, which have resulted in the destruction of hundreds of missiles, drones, and launchers. The campaign has also damaged Iranian defense industrial sites, including buildings at the Khojir Missile Production Complex, and has led to the sinking of Iranian ships. As a result, Iran’s regional ballistic missile launches have dropped significantly, with an 86 percent decrease since February 28 and a 23 percent decrease in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, Hezbollah has intensified its attacks on Israeli positions in northern Israel and southern Lebanon, including rocket strikes on the Haifa Naval Base.

MARCH 3, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

The combined US-Israeli campaign has effectively targeted Iran’s ballistic missile and nuclear capabilities, significantly reducing missile attacks against Israel and the UAE by destroying launchers and key facilities. The operation also included strikes on critical Iranian decision-making institutions, such as the Assembly of Experts, aiming to disrupt leadership succession and undermine regime legitimacy. In response to these disruptions, Iranian leaders have delegated authority to lower-level officials to maintain state functions. Meanwhile, Iran has continued its own attacks against US forces and regional sites, leading to the closure of two US embassies, while the US and Israel have also targeted Iranian-backed militias in Iraq to prevent retaliatory actions.

MARCH 3, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

Recent developments in the Middle East include ongoing attacks by the United States and Israel targeting Iranian internal security institutions in Kurdistan Province, significant Iranian drone and missile strikes against energy and maritime infrastructure in Gulf countries, and an Iranian drone attack on the US Embassy in Riyadh, which prompted condemnation and threats of retaliation from Saudi Arabia and the United States. Additionally, Iran has launched various missile and drone attacks at Qatar, though Qatar’s Foreign Ministry denies conducting strikes against Iran. Meanwhile, Hezbollah has intensified attacks on Israeli positions in northern Israel, while the IDF has responded with operations in southern Lebanon aimed at degrading Hezbollah’s capabilities.

MARCH 2, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

The United States and Israel have intensified their joint military campaign against Iran and its regional allies, achieving local air superiority over Iran by targeting its air defenses and enabling safer operations for lower-generation aircraft. Their operations include airstrikes on Iranian security and propaganda sites, a significant attack on the Natanz Nuclear Facility, and strikes against Iranian-backed militias in Iraq, as well as continued efforts to degrade Hezbollah’s capabilities in Lebanon. In response, Iran is attempting to disrupt international shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and has targeted Gulf energy infrastructure to pressure regional states into urging the cessation of US-Israeli strikes, while the Houthis may also expand hostilities in the Horn of Africa if the conflict escalates further.

MARCH 2, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

The combined force has continued to degrade Iran’s retaliatory capabilities, targeting missile bases, naval assets, and internal security infrastructure through airstrikes and attacks. Satellite imagery reveals significant damage to Iranian military locations, including missile bases near Najafabad and naval assets at Bandar Abbas and Bandar Mahshahr. The IDF’s ongoing operations have hindered Iran’s ability to launch coordinated missile attacks against Israel, while Iranian Shahed drones remain a substantial threat, particularly to Gulf countries. Iran has increasingly targeted energy infrastructure in the Gulf, aiming to pressure international actors for a ceasefire, which may prompt Gulf states to join the conflict. Meanwhile, Hezbollah has launched attacks on Israeli missile defense sites, prompting Israeli retaliatory strikes against Hezbollah leadership and facilities in Lebanon.

MARCH 1, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

A combined US-Israeli force has carried out over 2,000 strikes in Iran, gaining air superiority over Tehran and disrupting Iranian internal security forces, particularly near the borders with Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan. Ali Reza Arafi, a key figure with close ties to Supreme Leader Khamenei, has likely been influential in consolidating religious authority in Iran. Recent Iranian retaliatory attacks have been less consistent and less intense, indicating possible coordination difficulties and the effectiveness of US-Israeli efforts to degrade Iran’s capabilities. Meanwhile, reports suggest Lebanese Hezbollah may have launched its first rocket attack into Israel since the November 2024 ceasefire, and other Iranian-backed groups have also threatened or conducted attacks against Israel and US forces.

MARCH 1, 2026

Iran Update Morning Special Report

The US-Israeli alliance is intensifying its operations against Iran's internal security structures, aligning with their stated goal of toppling the Iranian regime. In response to these pressures, Iran has established a temporary leadership council and continues its missile and drone strikes across the region, including attacks on civilian areas in the Gulf and Israel. The Israeli Defense Forces have introduced a three-phase plan to secure air superiority over key regions of Iran, reminiscent of their actions in June 2025. Meanwhile, Iran has reportedly begun targeting maritime traffic near the Strait of Hormuz to impose costs on the United States and its partners and to push for a ceasefire before the regime's potential fall.

FEBRUARY 28, 2026

Iran Update Evening Special Report

A joint US-Israeli military campaign resulted in the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with uncertainty now surrounding Iran’s leadership as the constitutional process to appoint a successor unfolds. The campaign involved nearly 900 strikes on Iranian targets within 12 hours, including 500 by the Israel Defense Forces, significantly impairing Iranian air defenses, retaliation capabilities, and command structures, though information flow from Iran remains restricted due to an internet shutdown. While Iran has not attacked vessels in the Strait of Hormuz despite issuing warnings, and US forces have successfully defended against missile and drone attacks, Iran’s allied groups such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Iraqi militias have condemned the strikes but have not launched significant retaliatory operations as of the latest reporting.

FEBRUARY 28, 2026

Iran Update Special Report: US and Israeli Strikes

The United States and Israel have launched a coordinated strike campaign against Iran, with the aim of toppling the Islamic Republic and disrupting its military capabilities. President Donald Trump called for Iranian citizens to rise up, while Israel executed decapitation strikes targeting top Iranian leaders, including attempted strikes on Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and reported deaths of several senior officials. Both countries have attacked hundreds of Iranian military targets, including missile launchers and naval assets, to hinder Iran's ability to retaliate. In response, Iran has launched multiple missile barrages at Israel and attacked US military bases across the region, including in Bahrain, Qatar, UAE, Kuwait, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.